The Plumbing

Where the dollars actually move.

Net liquidity vs S&P 500

The 52-week correlation is unavailable. Compare the levels without assuming lead-lag.

Net liquidity: Fed total assets − TGA − RRP, via FRED. Weekly. S&P 500: Yahoo Finance.

The components of net liquidity

Fed total assets

FRED, WALCL. Weekly.

Treasury General Account

FRED, WTREGEN. Weekly.

Overnight reverse repo

FRED, RRPONTSYD. Daily.

Net liquidity = Fed assets − TGA − RRP.

Credit spreads

ICE BofA US high-yield and investment-grade option-adjusted spreads, via FRED. Daily, in basis points.

Credit stress

Weighted z-score of US high-yield and investment-grade option-adjusted spreads. Zero is the recent norm; higher is tighter.

Central-bank balance sheets

Each balance sheet starts at 100. The lines show which central-bank balance sheet expanded or contracted most in local-currency terms.

Fed (USD), ECB (EUR), BoJ (JPY) total assets, via FRED. Indexed to 100 at range start.